# Eastern Caribbean (ECCU) Regime Strain Index

Predicted CA/GDP deviation from union mean using Z deviation coefficients.

| Country | 2000 | 2010 | 2020 | 2030 | 2040 | 2050 | 2060 |
|:---|---:|---:|---:|---:|---:|---:|---:|
| MSR | -6.50 | -5.70 | -10.25 | -14.18 | -13.11 | -10.93 | -6.73 |
| AIA | +5.01 | +5.96 | +5.54 | -0.95 | -6.61 | -12.83 | -15.22 |
| ATG | +3.56 | +3.81 | +3.44 | -0.12 | -4.02 | -7.08 | -8.02 |
| VCT | +0.53 | -1.04 | -2.86 | -0.07 | +2.40 | +6.44 | +10.85 |
| GRD | -2.38 | -3.62 | -2.69 | +1.22 | +3.77 | +4.24 | +0.15 |
| KNA | +1.27 | +2.85 | +3.98 | +4.49 | +4.17 | +5.03 | +4.17 |
| DMA | -3.60 | -5.59 | -3.03 | +1.50 | +4.97 | +8.49 | +11.43 |
| LCA | +2.10 | +3.33 | +5.86 | +8.12 | +8.43 | +6.65 | +3.37 |

*Coefficients from within-ECCU Z deviation regression (N=114). Z projections from UN WPP.*